US Election Prediction Map 2024

Click on a state to toggle its predicted outcome. If a party or candidate gets over 270 votes, they win the election!

    NE-CD2:

    ME-CD2:

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Donald Trump

Donald Trump

Republican

Democratic Electoral Votes: 0

Republican Electoral Votes: 0

Tossup Electoral Votes: 0

*2024 Forecast is a generalisation based on polls and expert picks from pundits

Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

Democrat

Betting Market (Polymarket):

Recent Poll Data

Updated Daily

RCP polls

ID Pollster Uploaded to Website Margin of Error Trump Harris

FiveThirtyEight Polls

ID Pollster End Date of Poll Area Trump Harris

Recent Polls Over Time

DDHQ State Forecast Chart

FAQ

What if neither party gets 270 electoral votes or more?

The President is picked by Congress, specifically the House. Although there is an odd number of representatives (435), each state's representatives make a vote for a candidate as a state (50 states, an even number). In the case a 25-25 vote occurs, the vice president will take over until a president is chosen.

What is NE-2 and ME-2?

Nebraska and Maine assign votes by congressional district and state popular vote. The second congressional district in both Maine and Nebraska could possibly vote against their state interest and their 1 elector would have to vote differently.

What are electoral votes?

The United States is unique. States are given electors based on the number of senators and representatives for each state and 3 electors for DC since they have no congress people. Instead of a national popular vote, people vote for what their state will vote for. Therefore, the goal for each candidate is to get enough electors to become president.